What's the probability that the Sideswiper is in fact blue given the witness's testimony?
What's the probability that the Sideswiper is in fact blue given the witness's testimony? That is, regardless of whether she is shown a blue or a green cab in misty evening light, she gets the color right 80% of the time. You conclude, on the basis of this information: (a) The probability that the sideswiper was blue is 0.8.
Is Thinking, Fast and Slow a tough read?
I found it tough (worthwhile, but tough — like eating a salad you know you need to finish) to get through because it comes in at a very dense 500 pages. If you're reading this, it's possible that you're halfway through the book and just want someone to give you the gist of it. Or maybe you're thinking about buying it.
What is an example of Thinking, Fast and Slow?
Consider the sum 2 + 2. That's an easily recognisable equation that your brain probably calculated instinctively, using fast thinking. Now consider 14 x 38. That's more complicated and, it will likely require you to apply conscious effort, or slow thinking, to determine the answer.
What is the posterior probability that the cab is blue?
Multiplying . 15 by . 8 gives us . 12, 12%, which is the posterior probability of the accident involving a blue cab that was correctly identified as blue, a true positive.
Why are British taxis black?
Why London Taxis are Black. The Austin FX3 of 1948 made the black taxi look popular. The cab was made in black, and anyone who wanted a different colour had to pay extra. Seeing as it was the post-war period, not a lot of people had money for that.