How likely is a hurricane in Florida in July?


How likely is a hurricane in Florida in July? By total storm energy, the season is 2.7%, 8.0%, and 7.3% complete for the Atlantic, continental U.S., and Florida, respectively. The lack of tropical threats is not unusual in early July. In fact, July is the second-quietest month of hurricane season from a U.S. landfall perspective, historically trailed by November.


Is a Category 6 hurricane possible?

There is officially no such thing as a Category 6 hurricane. But the idea of revising or adding to the scale has been discussed by some climate scientists who believe the current categories may not be adequate for increasingly extreme storms in the future.


How bad is hurricane season going to be in 2023?

NOAA's update to the 2023 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).


How likely is a hurricane in July?

On average, there's one June named storm in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico every one to two years. July has a slightly higher rate of occurrence, but it has still averaged less than one named storm per year since 1851.


Will Florida get hit by a hurricane in 2023?

In terms of locations, predictions said that Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Florida were likely to be hardest hit again in 2023, as they were in 2022. This has already proven true with Hurricane Idalia, which hit Florida at the end of August.